first intro was this post:
which of course – hugely resonates.
several things… like: Today’s obsession w MOOCs is a reminder of the old forecasting paradigm.
Find/follow her here:
She is executive director of Institute For The Future:
her book is a high recommend – it’s our (the world’s) – social fiction:
book links to amazon
where does this lead, what does the socialstructure world look like? – an amazing world – to not ask permission – to pursue passions – and to create amazing things with others
(too many) highlights from book:
socialstructing is about humanizing our lives, allowing us to be fully human rather than organizational men and women.
The good news is that the kinds of skills we previously reserved for our informal interactions—in social networks, in our volunteer work, with our friends—will be the kind of skills we will have to rely on in whatever work or productive endeavor we will be engaged in. We will be using more of our innate human skills rather than skills learned from management books and management courses.
This is the greatest promise of socialstructing: to bring passion, self-direction, and social connectivity into our lives and into our work.
in the world in which much of the work can increasingly be done by machines and in which it takes only a few people to produce at enormous scales, we need to turn our time and attention to precisely the Commerce of Creative Spirit, be it in science, arts, health, education, or any other domain.
Passionate individuals, amplified with technologies and access to collective intelligence and the resources of multitudes of others they connect to via social media platforms are able to accomplish previously unthinkable things at a speed and on a scale previously unimaginable.
This ability to fearlessly make things she is passionate about public, without necessarily thinking about the end result, fits a pattern in Ariel’s life and is something she considers a key to her success.
I don’t subscribe to news sites, I subscribe to people who are experts in space.
As we embark on the large-scale enterprise of creating a new infrastructure for social currencies, it is important to remember that social currencies operate quite differently than money. Their purpose is to facilitate social flows that often operate not on market principles but on intrinsic motivations to belong, to be respected, or to gain emotional support.
New currencies will allow us to quantify and capitalize on these other kinds of flows. They will also be used to create incentives for us to engage in production that is not market-based—that is, production aimed not at financial profit maximization but at maximization of other desired outcomes, such as solving large-scale problems or creating happiness and community vitality
In a world in which smart machines will replace us in many rote, repetitive operations and will enable us to do things we previously could not, in a world where we can produce with very little human effort at scales previously unimaginable, it may well be that we humans will increasingly be dedicating our time and our minds and skills to things that are unique expressions of us: art, poetry, music, discovery, storytelling, and myriad other creative and novel endeavors. Not a bad future.
The gift society scenario will require us to rethink the status of economics as a separate discipline that views everything through the lens of commodities that can be measured and traded. It will call on us to bring back morality, philosophy, and psychology into how we think about wealth and production.
Gift economies, whether in Melanesia, among intellectuals in the Soviet Union, or among open-source programmers, focus on acts and experiences instead of relying on alternative commodity structures such as game points or social currency. Interactions in such circles are based on implicit and intrinsic rewards—giving, creating, being—rather than openly utilitarian trade in commodities
We are tempted to seek all meaning in ontic measuring—and it’s no surprise that this ultimately leaves us disappointed and frustrated, drowned in carefully calibrated details.”15 Reading Crease helped me understand that those awarding the Fields Medal to Perelman were using ontic measures to value an ontological experience
As the modern world has perfected its ontic measures, our ability to measure ourselves ontologically seems to have diminished.
in the socialstructed world it takes only a few Boing Boings to disrupt a publishing industry, a few Wikipedias to reshape the knowledge industry as we know it, and a few Khan Academies to remake the educational landscape. The socialstructed world is a world in which a few amplified individuals can remake the world.
slow business, wherein founders and employees seek to earn enough money to support and enable what they are doing but do not aim to grow the organization for the purpose of maximizing financial returns. In fact in the slow business model, the organization serves to support what the key people involved like to do, and they eschew doing things that place management or other organizational burdens on them. Personal interests and passions come first
When Drucker asked people why they volunteered, many gave the same answer: paying jobs didn’t offer enough challenge, enough opportunity for achievement, or enough responsibility, and they didn’t promote a mission people could get excited about.
The process of socialstructing has begun. In fields as diverse as education, governance, science, and health amplified individuals are boldly engaged in de-institutionalizing production, taking value out of traditional ways of organizing, and actively building alternative platforms and tools
biocitizens,” people who use biological information to create online communities, do research outside of traditional institutional boundaries, and create movements around specific diseases or genetic conditions.23
Over the centuries, many of the most important medical advances have come from scientists who experimented on themselves.
amateurs empowered by access to scientific information and inexpensive tools will increasingly find themselves doing research alongside scientists and other nonscientists. The ivory towers may soon empty out, as scientists come out to play with the rest of the world.
In a nonbiology arena, Ariel Waldman has held Science Hack Days several times in the San Francisco Bay Area; with the help of a grant from the Sloane Foundation she is training others to organize Science Hack Days in other locations in the United States and globally
enabling professional and DIY scientists to bypass traditional institutional funding sources (governments, foundations, and corporate R&D labs), in the process undermining existing hierarchies that make it particularly difficult for younger researchers or those without approved credentials to be engaged in the enterprise of science.
As political actors, we support open journals, open collaboration, and free access to publicly funded research, and we oppose laws that would criminalize the possession of research equipment or the private pursuit of inquiry.
They believe in the power of individuals as opposed to institutions, in the wisdom of crowds as opposed to experts, and in the incentive to do good for the world as opposed to the need to turn a profit.
rom Matt Bellis, a Stanford physicist interested in finding new ways to share scientific results with the public. A trained musician, Bellis thought it would be interesting to “sonify” the data, in other words render it as sounds.
These professional hobbyists are blurring the lines between amateur and professional in science. With knowledge available on the Web, inexpensive tools, and new ways of connecting with other amateurs and professionals, their ranks are growing and they are changing the landscape of science
Even without the threat of serious disease, dedicated hobbyists often have a very impressive level of knowledge. …amateur astronomy club members lacking college-level astronomy training often knew more general astronomy than did undergraduate astronomy majors.17
People also become deeply engaged in science once they have a pressing personal need to know. This is exactly what happens when someone is diagnosed with leukemia or diabetes; the individual and often family members and friends become experts on the disease.
Explanation: the public learns science in settings and situations outside of school
Some people who set up home laboratories are serious hobbyists; others are home-schooling parents educating their children, or just tinkerers.
In 1961 Buckminster Fuller proposed the creation of a World Game for the purpose of “making the world work for 100 percent of humanity in the shortest possible time through spontaneous cooperation without ecological damage or disadvantage to anyone.”33
What would this society be like if citizens were truly governing the country, exercising this right not once every few years but all the time?
It is not just “young people who have grown up digital” who don’t learn well in lecture-style mass-produced educational settings. No one learns well in such settings. And an increasing number of experts are saying just that, criticizing the existing system and calling for its demise.
what is the equivalent of money in the educational economy? Grades and test scores (which are what most grades are based on), of course. Grades are something you can count like money, accumulate (think GPAs), and use to gain entry into the next level of the institutional ladder. However, just like money, grades replace intrinsic with extrinsic rewards, in most instances taking pleasure and self-direction out of the process of learning
Rheingold U is a community learning space in which everyone is a learner and a teacher, a beneficiary and a contributor. Rheingold calls this approach to teaching peerology.
earning is about participating in a conversation, and kids (and adults) want to participate in conversations with those who matter to them.
The whole world can truly be a classroom and every moment can be a learning moment.
The Whole World’s a Classroom: Ubiquitous Free Content
Many of our adolescents therefore live in a state of permanent desynchronosis, which most of us know as jet lag, being out of sync with one’s biological clock.
the mere act of putting a price tag on a good or a service makes people switch from the social to the economic mode, thus reducing their natural inclination toward altruism and generosity
In gift economies ownership is not about permanent possession, it is about giving. And it is vital to the system that the gifts keep circulating.
Let’s remember that the current money-based economic system is not a natural system, it is not somehow preordained, and it is not the only possible system.
In the drive for efficiency, modern economies have replaced many social and interpersonal interactions with highly institutionalized ones that revolve around a single form of exchange: money. Instead of taking care of our elderly, we hire others or pay institutions to take care of them; instead of getting advice from those close to us, we pay for counseling sessions with professionals.
it turns out that almost nothing makes us happier than good, hard work that we choose for ourselves.
There is now a wealth of literature on what brings people pleasure and why people do things for free—and why they often perform better when they do things for free than when they are paid.
We are quickly finding out that when we go from a centralized communications infrastructure to a distributed one, when we connect everything and everyone, the result is not just to make things faster, better, and bigger. The social system itself acquires a fundamentally different quality: it becomes more diversified, more emergent, and often unpredictable.
we can rekindle our basic human drive to be part of something larger than ourselves, something that isn’t primarily about profit-driven productivity, and can begin to restore the value of personal connections, and the sharing of our time, talents, and resources, to a central and deeply satisfying place in our lives.
nov 2015 – platform coop
Douglas Rushkoff in conversation with Institute for the Future’s Marina Gorbis https://t.co/UP3eLyLqZk
Original Tweet: https://twitter.com/rushkoff/status/714541854709182464
3 min – the people building digital tools/companies.. didn’t recognize they were working on top of another os – corp capitalism
8 min – on pivot ness.. ie: amazon not interested in people reading.. but using that as a place you can pivot from…
11 min – on forcing twitter to pivot…. to become like ie: facebook…
so not allowed to distribute wealth.. not allowed… in old corp system..
15 min – money is just another medium… an os
22 min – digital tech is burning out corporatism..
23 min – blockchain and bitcoin.. original fb brothers.. go other way…
bitcoin – what are they solving for… they weren’t solving for right problem.. it’s not engendering trust between people.. it’s substituting for trust in a new way.. the part that gets interesting is the blockchain – let’s people authenticate w/o central authority.. we use a public ledger
? – isn’t that substituting for trust in another way? – but not trusting..
bitcoin by just being able to do that .. puts traditional authenticators and gate keepers on notice.. that we can do it w/o them
don’t have to use a blockchain to make sure platform is going to extract too much… but the fact that we can do it restores faith in what we can do….. on saying – there’s all these things we can do that aren’t being counted…
– i’m more interested in getting things off the books than on…
B ness (computer too slow to add lines… just now… another reason for chip doing it)
everything is so verified.. we lose the ambiguity to get on… we can no longer create slack.. that wiggle room that makes for a community and makes for fun.. we mistake those metrics for what’s actually happening...
29 min – jobs: making stuff that nobody even wants…. purpose of having a job – not in order to get stuff done that we need.. it’s so we can justify letting you partake of spoils of industrial capitalism
30 min – the market place isn’t something you gamify.. it’s already gamified.. it’s a game .. and we can change the rules…
31 min – platform coops give me hope.. like uber getting to own the platform
32 min – on having to do the meta thing.. don’t scale.. scale is the obligation of growth based.. instead .. you want to sustain
34 min – what gives me hope – people doing small things.. set sights on something different.. gotten off the fame wagon… invest the homefield advantage of planet earth
42 min – no one size fits all solution.. you come up for the particular solution for your space…
44 min – locally doesn’t happen at scale… it works because you are part of the living community together…
45 min – do i understand that my phone is using 2 refrigerator’s worth of electricity.. on all the servers and things i’m pulling on… yet designed to look super clean…. land, labor, and capital.. and now os that’s only focus on capital… we have to re incorporate land and labor..
46 min – college has the same role as art.. to help you step out of the cultural narrative.. and see it as a social construction rather than as a condition of nature… ie: race, gender, ethnicity, econ, …
47 min – you don’t train kids for jobs… you train them to invent.. who wants a job anyway…
48 min – we should figure out a way to get through this world w/o needing a job..
indeed: a nother way
49 min – everyone of our social platforms is currently configured to reduce human spontaneity… they make more money the more predictable we are..
but more predictable.. the less human ambiguity we need to think our way out of this drone/lemming like march off the cliff..
idio jargon ness
51 min – if giving 90% of money back.. means took too much to being with
54 min – i only want to use platforms that i understand.. otherwise probably being used.. ie: that i understand who the customer is
55 min – i have no time for this.. i have to earn money to live on
57 min – digital is to talk to people far away.. then get back in the world… if you’re hiding online… use that time to make the world a better place.. so don’t need that..
58 min – trump has exposed market driven journalism…
1:02 – thinking is no longer singular.. really no point in lying because they know it subconsciously.. if everybody knows … how would you act differently.. there’s nothing to hide.. no shame… what if move toward.. non personal.. non owned… we are all neurons in a big global brain.. what if we thought that was true.... for me it’s a relief….
1:04 – what corporatism thrives on is the illusion of your individuality.. your separate ness..
interconnectedness – ni – rewire – small world network – et al
which was invented in the renaissance.. the gentlemen sitting alone in his room… if we begin to unwind that and say…
if everybody knows where we’re at.. what can we do next… well what we don’t know.. is what we can do together….
in all my years of striving what i’ve learned is.. to stop striving..
the last thing i want to do is actualize myself… (maslow) – get self out of way and start looking at human potential as a team sport…
fav one yet… grazie
Simultaneously though, large and growing swaths of the population feel like they are powerless victims of the future. It’s a divide that is deepening at an astonishing rate. If you are a young person living in a war-torn country or an urban jungle, futures thinking may feel like a luxury that you can’t afford. When you see many of your friends die or go to jail before your twenties, the future means surviving another year or just another month. If your job has disappeared and your town’s economy has been decimated, you feel like a victim of the future someone else is creating.
To me, this dilemma is the most urgent task of futures work and, frankly, where Toffler’s plan fell short. We need to make futures thinking a way of life for more people outside of the enclaves like Silicon Valley, corporate boardrooms, and academic think tanks. To accomplish that, ..
we must distribute the tools of futures thinking and futures-making more widely. Envisioning and making the future must be a massively public endeavor.
mech to facil interpretive labor
We are motivated by the belief that everyone needs to be part of the conversation about the future, and become actively engaged in making that future. We see the need for futures thinking and futures making as one of the urgent needs in our society.
We urgently need to engage more communities and more people in understanding the directions of technologies we are creating and imagining and building alternative pathways for their evolution.
People must see themselves as actors in the future. To do that, the abstract future must be made proximate and tangible.
Our present experiences and environments, including our physical surroundings, influence how we think. They are the filters on our imagination. And on a daily basis we are surrounded mostly by artifacts from the present or the past — buildings, streets, roads, infrastructure that was built decades, sometimes centuries ago. There is rarely anything in our physical environment and day-to-day interactions that gives us tangible and actionable signs of potential futures. For most people, the future is just not a part of their daily experience.
or perhaps.. we’re just not free enough to see it.. do this first – free people..
In the past 10 years IFTF has been dedicated to making futures thinking massively public. We’ve been creating and disseminating Artifacts from the Future — physical representations of future possibilities — as well as sharing tools for people to create their own future artifacts.
? – why not work on freeing people.. first.. and trusting them to create future possibilities…?
We conduct foresight trainings for myriad groups — educators, students, philanthropic organizations, communities, and businesses. We built an online platform — the Foresight Engine — to engage large groups of people in conversations about how future scenarios may change their lives. But we know that this is not enough. We need to massively scale up and recruit many more people as active participants in this urgent endeavor.
trick is to engage.. souls.. not manufactured people.. ie: educators, students, orgs, businesses.. et al.. we have to do something different.. we have to get to the heart of the matter.. we have to leap out of our broken feedback loop.. for (blank)’s sake
I just published “Designing the future of work” https://t.co/GvES59hvV4
Original Tweet: https://twitter.com/mgorbis/status/778704248137592832
a new operating system for creating value and getting things done
A combination of next-generation networking, distributed computing, and artificial intelligence (AI) is laying the groundwork for this transformation, catalyzing the emergence of a worldwide digital coordination economy. In this economy, algorithms are being deployed to identify and match those in need of something with those who can fulfill their needs, including both human and non-human agents.
But this new operating system for coordinating human activities and creating new kinds of value could also be riddled with catastrophic bugs, pushing large swaths of the population to labor at subsistence levels, with no benefits and little predictability over their earning streams.
this is why it can’t be partial.. won’t dance if it’s partial..
everyone has to be able to play..
However, as software engineers essentially author a growing segment of our economic operating system, it may take deliberate design choices in platform architecture, business models, new civic services, and public policy to prevent this increasingly seamless “coordination economy” from becoming highly inequitable as well
perhaps we go beyond policy.. business models.. et al
In order for society to thrive in this future, we will need a new design paradigm — a socio-technical framework in which the economic growth and societal benefits of an increasingly coordinated economy can be maximized.
max’d..? perhaps rather.. become irrelevant
Such a paradigm could encompass: the technical design of platforms, regulatory frameworks necessary to both protect against inherent negative externalities and help distribute opportunities on a more equitable basis, efforts to foster the creation of new ecosystems of services, and public policies that support inclusive prosperity.
ie: everyone having the luxury of …something else to do.. makes managing ..distribution.. negative externalities.. policies.. inclusiveness… irrelevant
Perhaps most importantly, it tries to create *the most human value out of the big technological shifts that are advancing in stride.
on *the most human value – imagining we can do better.. if we are brave enough.. to disengage enough
Voices of the Workable Future report from @
Can we design an on-demand economy that will work for everyone? buff.ly/2demj0p
digital coordination economy,” where apps can easily match people’s needs with others who want to fill them
rather than measure their transactions..
“We want to really help design a generation of what we call positive platforms,” Gorbis says.
via Marina rt – and article is by Marina
Quartz (@qz) tweeted at 5:26 AM – 11 Oct 2017 :
To fix income inequality, we need more than UBI—we need Universal Basic Assets https://t.co/C8s1ZFiSBe(http://twitter.com/qz/status/918075424529362944?s=17)
these solutions treat income inequality as a symptom rather than a disease. Income inequality is born out of something deeper and more fundamental: asset inequality.
Assets aren’t just cars and money: They’re the primary resources that people can leverage to generate income. Ownership or access to assets—such as equity shares, certain types of land, education, and social connections—is what gives people the foundation to generate an income and therefore create more wealth.
so still seeing money as os – if goal is to generate an income..
we believe that in order to achieve greater economic equity, our policies should focus on giving people more access to various types of assets. We call this solution Universal Basic Assets.
We focus on three broad classes of assets: private assets, like money, land, and housing; public assets, in the form of infrastructure and services such as education, health, and public utilities; and open assets, which are a growing category of mostly digital assets that are communally created and open to everyone, like Wikipedia and other open-source resources.
But the point of UBA is not to collectivize or seize and distribute resources: It’s to ensure that people are given opportunities to thrive in a rapidly shifting economy.
Without correcting for the root causes of economic inequality, we will all be paying the price, both rich and poor.
roots of healing.. sans money/measuring..
2 min – what i’m tracking .. income ineq and future of work
what if neither need to be
3 min – income ineq is a symptom of deeper.. asset/wealth ineq.. assets: things/resources we use to allow us to generate incomes..
let’s make income irrelevant
4 min – wages are dying out.. larger part of wealth created thru ownership of assets..
need to move convo from income ineq to asset/wealth ineq
5 min – pickety – saying similar.. massive ineq lack of resources at bottom of latter.. focus on how equalize distribution of primary assets (human/financial/bargainer power and assets)
in our work – looking at the and the econ and sources of wealth and what’s happening w work and jobs..
6 min – we think we’re going thru a really fundamental transformation of what work and jobs are..t
techs transforming work and the way we work
we are going thru this transformation that is very fundamental.. that led us to uba
1\ map out what are the core resources people will need to live well today and in future.. t
why decide that for people..?
2\ id the levers/tools/policies we can put in place to help people get to assets that can do that..t
8 min – 3 diff classes of assets
1\ private resources/assets.. we own individually ie: ubi; individual devel accts; baby bonds; retirement accts
2\ public assets.. minimizes need for private ie: denmark compared to us.. denmark has more public assets.. 30% of rural families in san fran and 12% in san fran have no access to internet
3\ open assets.. not managed by govt.. created by various communities but open to everyday.. ie: wikipedia..
3 directions i’d like to take these.. need to enlarge .. take from all places..
ie: every voice.. every day
14 min – how can we create more tools to access assets.. how can we leverage more
by disengaging form money/measure
15 min – we need to be creating new narratives.. creating new stories..
sapiens – talks about diff between people and animals.. we create fiction.. we need to actively be creating this new fiction..t
exactly.. 7 bn people..everyday..
Great work by IFTF in identifying #futurefit skills. Hope this shifts the narrative on how we think about the future of work and how we educate our youth. #WeAreLRNG https://t.co/b5t5beLNAw
Original Tweet: https://twitter.com/Connie/status/966725916893200384
IFTF (@iftf) tweeted at 1:35 PM – 27 Sep 2018 :
“Conversation is data!” #TYF18 @mgorbis and @tomfriedman https://t.co/aQgQ8yLX05 (http://twitter.com/iftf/status/1045396645477863428?s=17)
imagining self-talk as data