[dc & nyc]
intro’d to David via his ted2015 – How fear drives American politics
i grew up in a time where there was something to fear… global thermo nuclear war..
yet .. despite we lived for 50 yrs with threat of such a war.. the response of our govt/society was to do wonderful things: space, highway, internet.. something constructive.. sometimes unconstructive.. ie: 9 11… 19 guys.. response was clearly disproportionate.. verging on the unhinged.. we rearranged the national security status.. for ie: 100 members of core al qaeda .. and just a few 1000 terrorists.. they posed an existential threat to no one.. but we rearranged security since end of ww2.. we spent trillions of dollars.. we suspended our values.. violated international law.. we embraced torture.. embraced idea that if these could do it.. any one could.. we were seeing everybody as a threat.. result: surveillance.. that listened in on entire countries..
15 yrs later.. today more terrorists/attacks/casualties.. region is more unstable.. we have not succeeded in our response..
where did we go wrong..? ..
4 min – bigger problems than govt disfunction.. even though.. disfunction that makes it impossible to get anything done in richest/powerful country in world is far more dangerous than anything that a group like isis could do.. because it stops us in our tracks..
other problems from fact that we’re in a creativity crisis.. in washington in think tanks.. don’t get bold new ideas… attacked on twitter.. won’t get govt job.. because we are reactive to the heightened venom of political debate.. us vs them.. group think.. everyone on outside seen as threat
also processes that become reactive to news cycles.. so the parts of govt that do strategies.. can’t do this.. because reacting..
today.. because of 9 11 still looking in wrong direction.. we see transformational trends on horizon more important than what we saw
the things we are seeing.. may be symptoms.. reaction to bigger trends.. and if we are treating symptom and ignoring trends.. we have far bigger problems to deal with
we are living at a moment in which the very fabric of human society is being re woven
7 min – ie: 80% by 2020 would have a smart phone.. more sim cards than people.. we are w/in years of profound moment in history.. when effectively every single human being on the planet is going to be part of a manmade system for the first time.. able to touch anyone else.. changes associated with that.. are changing every aspect of governance on planet..
8 min – cool war.. cost of conflict to low.. we may never stop.. may enter period of constant warfare.. been in it for several years.. we don’t have doctrines formulated for this..
9 min – small groups of insurgents with cell phones.. got access to power.. apps allow to know what adversary is about to do.. cafe in sydney.. rifle and ipad.. the weapon was the ipad – he took over the world’s media..
doesn’t just affect security side.. now seeing that our basic assumptions about internet.. that it was going to connect us.. are not necessarily true..
11 min – manage internet.. not just china.. it’s china, india, russia, saudi, singapore, brazil… creating a new internet backbone.. so .. a new bi polar world.. in which cyber internationalism is challenged by cyber nationalism…
advent of mobile money.. ie: kenya, tansinia..
12 min – not just ability to bank.. it’s going to change what monetary policy and what money is.. ed is changing.. health care is changing.. and yet in washington.. we’re debating whether to call the terrorist group taking over syria/iraq.. isis, isil or islmaic state.. trying to determine how much to give in negotiations w/iranians in nuclear war – tech developed 50 yrs ago.. ignoring that they are engaged in cyber war with us
13 min – another crucial breakdown.. the dialogue has broken down.. in washington .. a war on science.. we have a govt that doesn’t want to listen
15 min – tech..ers.. saying leave me alone.. but the world is falling apart..
is internet.. electricity .. a fundamental right
the dialogue isn’t happening in washington.. these big issues that will change the world.. sci/tech need to come together with govt.. until we make recreate that connection we are going to grow evermore vulnerable
16 min – risks associated with 9 11 won’t be measured in terms of lives lost, bldgs destroyed, trillions spent.. in terms of our distraction from critical issues.. and our ability to get together.. at a moment of transformation..
a nother way – deep/simple/open enough..
Father of J & L, CEO & Editor of FP Group, Visiting Professor, Columbia U./SIPA, Vis. Scholar, CEIP, Author of National Insecurity and a bunch of other stuff
David J. Rothkopf (born 24 December 1955) is CEO and editor of the FP Group. The FP Group publishes Foreign Policy magazine, ForeignPolicy.com, presents FP Events, and is a division ofGraham Holdings Company. Rothkopf was first announced as CEO and Editor-at-Large in 2012, when Foreign Policy was owned by the Washington Post Company. He has been a regular contributor to the magazine for many years and continues to write columns in his role as editor.
He is also President and CEO of Garten Rothkopf, an international advisory firm specializing in transformational global trends, notably those associated with energy, security, and emerging markets.
He is the author of internationally acclaimed books, including “Power, Inc.: The Epic Rivalry Between Big Business and Government-and the Reckoning That Lies Ahead,” (2012); “Superclass: The Global Power Elite and the World They are Making,” (2008); and “Running the World: The Inside Story of the National Security Council and the Architects of American Power,” (2006). His next book, “National Insecurity: Making U.S. Foreign Policy in an Age of Fear” will be published in the fall of 2014. See:Publications
He is a visiting scholar at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, where he chairs the Carnegie Economic Strategy Roundtable, and chairman of the National Strategic Investment Forum Dialogue, a forum convening leading institutional investors for discussions about critical issues of investment strategy. In addition, Rothkopf serves or has recently served as a member of the advisory boards of the U.S. Institute of Peace, the Johns Hopkins/Bloomberg School of Public Health, the Center for Global Development, and the Center for the Study of the Presidency.
Prior to the establishment of Garten Rothkopf, Rothkopf was the chairman, CEO, and co-founder ofIntellibridge Corporation, a leading provider of international analysis and open-source intelligence for the U.S. national security community and selected investors, financial organizations and other corporations. Before founding Intellibridge, Rothkopf was managing director of Kissinger Associates, the international advisory firm founded and chaired by former U.S. Secretary of State Henry A. Kissinger. Immediately prior to joining Kissinger Associates, Rothkopf served as Acting U.S. Under Secretary of Commerce for International Trade. In this capacity, Rothkopf directed the 2400 employees of the International Trade Administration including the U.S. Commercial Service, the International Economic Policy Bureau, the Bureau of Import Administration, and the Bureau of Trade Development. He joined the Clinton Administration in 1993 as Deputy Under Secretary of Commerce for International Trade Policy and Development.
Prior to joining the Clinton Administration, Rothkopf was co-founder, chairman and chief executive of International Media Partners, Inc., which published CEO Magazine, and Emerging Markets newspaper, and organized the CEO Institutes. Previously, Rothkopf served as a senior executive and editor at Institutional Investor, Inc. and served in a similar capacity at Financial World magazine.